2026 · my calls

Predictions

What I think happens. The 49ers win the Super Bowl, Ohio State wins the national title and the 76ers win the NBA Finals. Every NFL game, every playoff bracket and the year’s awards, with the betting markets’ odds from the day I called them.

NFL games called
178
playoff games
45
awards
16

gold foil

Who wins it all

  1. Super Bowl LXINFL · 2026 season
    championsSan Francisco 49ersover Bills

    to win it all+53216% chance

    the favoritePolymarket 16% · Kalshi 16%
  2. National ChampionshipCollege Football Playoff
    championsOhio State Buckeyesover Ole Miss

    to win it all+61414% chance

    #3 in the marketPolymarket 16% · Kalshi 13%
  3. NBA FinalsNBA · 2026-27
    championsPhiladelphia 76ersover Thunder

    to win it all+88810% chance

    #3 in the marketPolymarket 9.8% · Kalshi 11%

the hardware

Award winners

The % is the market’s chance that my pick wins, the stub has the same as American odds.

NFL

  1. Most Valuable Player
    Brock PurdyQB · San Francisco 49ers
    27% #2 in the marketPolymarket 28% · Kalshi 26%
  2. Offensive Player of the Year
    Jahmyr GibbsRB · Detroit Lions
    25% #2 in the marketPolymarket 26% · Kalshi 24%
  3. Defensive Player of the Year
    Will Anderson Jr.DE · Houston Texans
    42% the favoritePolymarket 42% · Kalshi 42%
  4. Offensive Rookie of the Year
    Germie BernardWR · rookie · Pittsburgh Steelers
    15% #4 in the marketKalshi 15%
  5. Defensive Rookie of the Year
    David BaileyLB · rookie · New York Jets
    32% the favoritePolymarket 32% · Kalshi 32%
  6. Comeback Player of the Year
    Patrick MahomesQB · Kansas City Chiefs
    70% the favoritePolymarket 72% · Kalshi 69%
  7. Coach of the Year
    Kevin O'ConnellHead coach · Minnesota Vikings
    12% #4 in the marketKalshi 12%
  8. Super Bowl MVP
    Brock PurdyQB · San Francisco 49ers
    no market yet

NBA

  1. Most Valuable Player
    Victor WembanyamaF · San Antonio Spurs
    30% the favoritePolymarket 29% · Kalshi 32%
  2. Defensive Player of the Year
    Victor WembanyamaF · San Antonio Spurs
    70% the favoritePolymarket 73% · Kalshi 68%
  3. Rookie of the Year
    Cameron BoozerF · rookie · Memphis Grizzlies
    27% the favoritePolymarket 28% · Kalshi 26%
  4. Sixth Man of the Year
    Ayo DosunmuG · Minnesota Timberwolves
    7.6% #5 in the marketPolymarket 6.8% · Kalshi 8.5%
  5. Most Improved Player
    Ty JeromeG · Memphis Grizzlies
    19% the favoritePolymarket 19% · Kalshi 19%
  6. Clutch Player of the Year
    Cade CunninghamG · Detroit Pistons
    off the board
  7. Coach of the Year
    Will HardyHead coach · Utah Jazz
    10% the favoritePolymarket 11% · Kalshi 10%
  8. Finals MVP
    Joel EmbiidC · Philadelphia 76ers
    no market yet

nfl playoffs

The road to Super Bowl LXI

Seeds come from my picks for every game, with the NFL’s tiebreakers.

AFC

Wild Card

  1. 2 v 7
    2Broncos✓
    7Texans
  2. 3 v 6
    3Jaguars✓
    6Patriots
  3. 4 v 5
    4Bengals
    5Chiefs✓

Bills · first-round bye

Divisional

  1. 1 v 5
    1Bills✓
    5Chiefs
  2. 2 v 3
    2Broncos
    3Jaguars✓

AFC Championship

  1. 1 v 3 · AFC title
    1Bills✓
    3Jaguars

NFC

Wild Card

  1. 2 v 7
    2Vikings
    7Rams✓
  2. 3 v 6
    3Panthers
    6Bears✓
  3. 4 v 5
    4Cowboys
    5Seahawks✓

49ers · first-round bye

Divisional

  1. 1 v 7
    149ers✓
    7Rams
  2. 5 v 6
    5Seahawks
    6Bears✓

NFC Championship

  1. 1 v 6 · NFC title
    149ers✓
    6Bears
  1. Super Bowl LXI
    Buffalo Bills
    San Francisco 49ers✓
    ★ 49ers win it all ★

college football playoff

The 12-team playoff

The four power-conference champions, the best Group of Six champion and the next seven in my final ranking.

First round

  1. 8 v 9 · on campus
    8Texas Tech✓
    9Utah
  2. 5 v 12 · on campus
    5Ole Miss✓
    12Boise St
  3. 7 v 10 · on campus
    7Indiana
    10Tennessee✓
  4. 6 v 11 · on campus
    6Georgia✓
    11UCLA

Quarterfinals

  1. 1 v 8 · quarterfinal
    1BYU✓
    8Texas Tech
  2. 4 v 5 · quarterfinal
    4Notre Dame
    5Ole Miss✓
  3. 2 v 10 · quarterfinal
    2Ohio State✓
    10Tennessee
  4. 3 v 6 · quarterfinal
    3Miami
    6Georgia✓

Semifinals

  1. 1 v 5 · semifinal
    1BYU
    5Ole Miss✓
  2. 2 v 6 · semifinal
    2Ohio State✓
    6Georgia
  1. National Championship
    Ohio State Buckeyes✓
    Ole Miss Rebels
    ★ Ohio State win it all ★

nba playoffs

The road to the Finals

Eastern Conference

Play-in

  1. 7 v 8 · winner is the 7
    7Magic✓
    8Celtics
  2. 9 v 10
    9Heat
    10Hornets✓
  3. for the 8 seed
    8Celtics✓
    10Hornets

First round

  1. 1 v 8
    176ers✓
    8Celtics
  2. 4 v 5
    4Cavaliers
    5Raptors✓
  3. 3 v 6
    3Pistons✓
    6Hawks
  4. 2 v 7
    2Knicks✓
    7Magic

Conference semis

  1. 1 v 5
    176ers✓
    5Raptors
  2. 2 v 3
    2Knicks✓
    3Pistons

East finals

  1. 1 v 2 · East final
    176ers✓
    2Knicks

Western Conference

Play-in

  1. 7 v 8 · winner is the 7
    7Trail Blazers✓
    8Warriors
  2. 9 v 10
    9Suns
    10Mavericks✓
  3. for the 8 seed
    8Warriors
    10Mavericks✓

First round

  1. 1 v 8
    1Thunder✓
    8Mavericks
  2. 4 v 5
    4Rockets✓
    5Nuggets
  3. 3 v 6
    3Timberwolves✓
    6Lakers
  4. 2 v 7
    2Spurs✓
    7Trail Blazers

Conference semis

  1. 1 v 4
    1Thunder✓
    4Rockets
  2. 2 v 3
    2Spurs
    3Timberwolves✓

West finals

  1. 1 v 3 · West final
    1Thunder✓
    3Timberwolves
  1. NBA Finals
    Philadelphia 76ers✓
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    ★ 76ers win it all ★

the regular season

How the standings end

NFL

AFC East

  1. 1Bills13-41
  2. 2Patriots12-56
  3. 3Jets4-13
  4. 4Dolphins1-16

AFC North

  1. 1Bengals11-64
  2. 2Steelers10-7
  3. 3Ravens10-7
  4. 4Browns8-9

AFC South

  1. 1Jaguars11-63
  2. 2Texans10-77
  3. 3Colts4-13
  4. 4Titans3-14

AFC West

  1. 1Broncos12-52
  2. 2Chiefs12-55
  3. 3Chargers5-12
  4. 4Raiders5-12

NFC East

  1. 1Cowboys9-84
  2. 2Giants7-9-1
  3. 3Eagles6-11
  4. 4Commanders3-13-1

NFC North

  1. 1Vikings12-52
  2. 2Bears12-56
  3. 3Packers11-6
  4. 4Lions11-6

NFC South

  1. 1Panthers10-73
  2. 2Saints8-9
  3. 3Falcons7-10
  4. 4Buccaneers1-16

NFC West

  1. 149ers14-31
  2. 2Seahawks13-45
  3. 3Rams11-67
  4. 4Cardinals5-12

College football · final top 25

1–13

  1. 1BYUBig 12 champion1
  2. 2Ohio StateBig Ten champion2
  3. 3MiamiACC champion3
  4. 4Notre DameFBS Independents4
  5. 5Ole MissSEC champion5
  6. 6GeorgiaSEC6
  7. 7IndianaBig Ten7
  8. 8Texas TechBig 128
  9. 9UtahBig 129
  10. 10TennesseeSEC10
  11. 11UCLABig Ten11
  12. 12AlabamaSEC
  13. 13IowaBig Ten

14–25

  1. 14HoustonBig 12
  2. 15USCBig Ten
  3. 16Boise StG6 champion12
  4. 17KentuckySEC
  5. 18Wake ForestACC
  6. 19FloridaSEC
  7. 20TexasSEC
  8. 21MissouriSEC
  9. 22SMUACC
  10. 23New MexicoMountain West
  11. 24LSUSEC
  12. 25OregonBig Ten

NBA

Eastern Conference

  1. 176ers1
  2. 2Knicks2
  3. 3Pistons3
  4. 4Cavaliers4
  5. 5Raptors5
  6. 6Hawks6
  7. 7Magicplay-in → 7 seed7
  8. 8Celticsplay-in → 8 seed8
  9. 9Heatout in the play-in
  10. 10Hornetsout in the play-in
  11. 11Pacerslottery
  12. 12Buckslottery
  13. 13Bullslottery
  14. 14Netslottery
  15. 15Wizardslottery

Western Conference

  1. 1Thunder1
  2. 2Spurs2
  3. 3Timberwolves3
  4. 4Rockets4
  5. 5Nuggets5
  6. 6Lakers6
  7. 7Trail Blazersplay-in → 7 seed7
  8. 8Warriorsout in the play-in
  9. 9Sunsout in the play-in
  10. 10Mavericksplay-in → 8 seed8
  11. 11Clipperslottery
  12. 12Pelicanslottery
  13. 13Grizzlieslottery
  14. 14Kingslottery
  15. 15Jazzlottery

Odds from Polymarket and Kalshi on October 23, 2026: the market’s chance (the average of the two where both price it), and the same as American odds. NFL results through October 23, 2026 are real; everything after is my call. Team names and logos belong to their teams and leagues.